Python计算斗牛游戏的概率

过年回家,都会约上亲朋好友聚聚会,会上经常会打麻将,斗地主,斗牛。在这些游戏中,斗牛是最受欢迎的,因为可以很多人一起玩,而且没有技术含量,都是看运气(专业术语是概率)。

斗牛的玩法是:

  1. 把牌中的JQK都拿出来
  2. 每个人发5张牌
  3. 如果5张牌中任意三张加在一起是10的 倍数,就是有牛。剩下两张牌的和的10的余数就是牛数。

牌的大小:

4条 > 3条 > 牛十 > 牛九 > …… > 牛一 >没有牛

而这些牌出现的概率是有多少呢?

由于只有四十张牌,所以采用了既简单,又有效率的方法枚举来计算。

计算的结果:

所有牌的组合数:658008
出现四条的组合数:360,概率 :0.05%
出现三条的组合数:25200,概率 :3.83%
出现牛十的组合数:42432,概率 :6.45%
出现牛九或牛八的组合数:87296,概率 :13.27%
出现牛一到牛七的组合数:306112,概率 :46.52%
出现没有牛的组合数:196608,概率 :29.88%

所以有七成的概率是有牛或以上的,所以如果你经常遇到没有牛,说明你的运气非常差或者本来是有牛的,但是你没有找出来。

Python源代码:

# encoding=utf-8
__author__ = '[email protected]'
import os
import cPickle from copy import copy
from collections import Counter
import itertools
'''
计算斗牛游戏的概率
''' class Poker():
'''
一张牌
''' def __init__(self, num, type):
self.num = num # 牌数
self.type = type # 花色 class GamePoker():
'''
一手牌,即5张Poker
'''
COMMON_NIU = 1 # 普通的牛,即牛一-牛七
NO_NIU = 0 # 没有牛
EIGHT_NINE_NIU = 2 # 牛九或牛八
TEN_NIU = 3 # 牛十
THREE_SAME = 4 # 三条
FOUR_SAME = 5 # 四条 def __init__(self, pokers):
assert len(pokers) == 5
self.pokers = pokers
self.num_pokers = [p.num for p in self.pokers]
# self.weight = None # 牌的权重,权重大的牌胜
# self.money_weight = None # 如果该牌赢,赢钱的权重
self.result = self.sumary() def is_niu(self):
'''
是否有牛
:return:
'''
# if self.is_three_same():
# return 0
for three in itertools.combinations(self.num_pokers, 3):
if sum(three) % 10 == 0:
left = copy(self.num_pokers)
for item in three:
left.remove(item)
point = sum(left) % 10
return 10 if point == 0 else point return 0 def is_three_same(self):
'''
是否3条
:return:
'''
# if self.is_four_same():
# return 0
count = Counter([p.num for p in self.pokers])
for num in count:
if count[num] == 3:
return num
return 0 def is_four_same(self):
'''
是否4条
:return:
'''
count = Counter([p.num for p in self.pokers])
for num in count:
if count[num] == 4:
return num
return 0 def sumary(self):
'''
计算牌
'''
if self.is_four_same():
return GamePoker.FOUR_SAME
if self.is_three_same():
return GamePoker.THREE_SAME
niu_point = self.is_niu()
if niu_point in (8, 9):
return GamePoker.EIGHT_NINE_NIU
elif niu_point == 10:
return GamePoker.TEN_NIU
elif niu_point > 0:
return GamePoker.COMMON_NIU
else:
return GamePoker.NO_NIU def get_all_pokers():
'''
生成所有的Poker,共四十个
:return:
'''
pokers = []
for i in range(1, 11):
for j in ('A', 'B', 'C', 'D'):
pokers.append(Poker(i, j)) return pokers def get_all_game_poker(is_new=0):
'''
生成所有game_poker
:param pokers:
:return:
'''
pokers = get_all_pokers()
game_pokers = [] if not is_new and os.path.exists('game_pokers'):
with open('game_pokers', 'r') as f:
return cPickle.loads(f.read()) for pokers in itertools.combinations(pokers, 5): # 5代表五张牌
game_pokers.append(GamePoker(pokers))
with open('game_pokers', 'w') as f:
f.write(cPickle.dumps(game_pokers))
return game_pokers def print_rate(game_pokers):
total_num = float(len(game_pokers))
four_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.FOUR_SAME])
three_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.THREE_SAME])
ten_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.TEN_NIU])
eight_nine_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.EIGHT_NINE_NIU])
common_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.COMMON_NIU])
no_num = len([game_poker for game_poker in game_pokers if game_poker.result == GamePoker.NO_NIU])
print '所有牌的组合数:%d' % total_num
print '出现四条的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (four_num, four_num * 100 / total_num)
print '出现三条的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (three_num, three_num * 100 / total_num)
print '出现牛十的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (ten_num, ten_num * 100 / total_num)
print '出现牛九或牛八的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (eight_nine_num, eight_nine_num * 100 / total_num)
print '出现牛一到牛七的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (common_num, common_num * 100 / total_num)
print '出现没有牛的组合数:%d,概率 :%.2f%%' % (no_num, no_num * 100 / total_num) def main():
game_pokers = get_all_game_poker() # 658008种
print_rate(game_pokers) main()

如果有错误,欢迎指正。

转载请带上我

04-15 16:16